Killing Khamenei Is Not the Same as Regime Change argues that targeted assassination of Iran’s supreme leader would not necessarily trigger broader political upheaval or destabilize the regime, challenging the assumption that removing a single figure equals regime change. The piece contends that Iran’s power structure and security apparatus could absorb such an action and that leadership succession or internal rivalries may mitigate immediate upheaval.
The author examines historical precedents and geopolitical dynamics, suggesting that regime stability in Iran relies on complex institutional networks beyond personal leadership. It highlights potential consequences including hardline consolidation, intensified repression, or escalation of regional tensions, depending on how events unfold in the aftermath.
The article concludes by questioning the efficacy of assassination as a strategy for altering Iran’s political trajectory, arguing that lasting change would require broader, multifaceted approaches that address structural factors within the regime.
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