Donald Trump Is Betting on an Iranian Uprising. He Might Be Disappointed.
Donald Trump’s hopes for a broad uprising in Iran appear unlikely to gain traction, as widespread dislike of the ayatollah does not necessarily translate into support for the United States or regime change. Analysts suggest the Iranian public’s response to external calls for revolt is complex and uncertain, with many factors shaping opinions beyond anti-regime sentiment.
Key dynamics include leadership resilience, state control of information, and the risks of foreign interference, which could dampen domestic mobilization. Some Iranians may oppose the regime while fearing instability and consequences from any external-backed upheaval.
Experts caution that an American-backed uprising would likely face significant internal and external hurdles, and could worsen regional tensions without delivering predictable political outcomes.
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